Oregon: The Return on Investment to Increasing Postsecondary Credential Attainment

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Oregon Must Improve College Participation and Credential Attainment Rates to Remain Competitive

  • To remain globally competitive, the U.S. and each state should ensure that at least 60% of adults ages 25 to 64 have an associate or bachelor’s degree by 2025. In Oregon, the current rate is 38.6%.

  • Oregon ranks 29th among 50 states in the size of the credential increase it needs to achieve annually. To meet the 60% goal, it will need to produce an additional 252,022 degrees by 2025.

  • By achieving rates of the top-performing states, Oregon can produce about 123,000 bachelor’s degrees, 163,000 associate degrees and 60,000 certificates by 2025.

 

Meeting Credential Goal Produces Significant Personal Economic Return

 

Per capita income increases when the state meets 60% credential attainment goal

  • Under current postsecondary investment patterns, annual personal per capita income in Oregon is projected to decrease by about $19 in 2025.
  • By meeting the 60% credential attainment goal, annual per capita income would increase significantly more, by approximately $1,100 in 2025.

 

Meeting Credential Goal Produces Significant Economic Returns to the State

Status quo produces small returns

Under current postsecondary investment patterns, Oregon’s
state revenues will increase by about $14 million in 2025.

 

Meeting 60% credential goal pays off

By meeting the 60% credential goal, Oregon will generate more annual revenue, topping approximately $850 million in 2025.

 

State Revenues Exceed Costs When Credential Goal is Met

Status Quo: Costs exceed revenues 

Under current postsecondary investment patterns, Oregon’s postsecondary costs exceed state revenues by about $6
million by 2025.

Meet 2025 goal: Revenues exceed costs

By meeting the 60% credential attainment goal, Oregon’s
revenues exceed postsecondary costs by about $620 million
by 2025.

This analysis was prepared using the CLASP-NCHEMS Return on Investment Dashboard tool.  See clasp2022.tealmedia.dev/ROIdashboard